Second, third and forth round - historic participation in 2025
Evolution of results through three consecutive rounds
Analysis generated on June 21, 2025
📊 Executive Summary
This analysis examines the electoral evolution of four main candidates through three rounds of primaries in Bolivia, revealing significant trends in citizen participation and electoral preferences.
🎯 Results by Round
Second Primaries
| Candidato | Total | Posición |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Dunn | 62,389 | 4° |
| Tuto Quiroga | 202,002 | 2° |
| Manfred Reyes Villa | 202,352 | 1° |
| Samuel Doria Medina | 161,224 | 3° |
Third Primaries
| Candidato | Total | Posición |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Dunn | 142,131 | 3° |
| Tuto Quiroga | 267,021 | 1° |
| Manfred Reyes Villa | 266,994 | 2° |
| Samuel Doria Medina | 140,027 | 4° |
Fourth Primaries
| Candidato | Total | Posición |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Dunn | 231,095 | 3° |
| Tuto Quiroga | 250,754 | 2° |
| Manfred Reyes Villa | 255,377 | 1° |
| Samuel Doria Medina | 217,835 | 4° |
📈 Trend Analysis
Total Votes Evolution by Candidate
Total Votes Evolution by Candidate
Percentage Evolution by Candidate
Percentage Evolution by Candidate
Vote Growth: Second vs Fourth Primaries
Vote Growth: Second vs Fourth Primaries
🚀 Jaime Dunn: The Candidate with Highest Growth
Jaime Dunn experienced the most dramatic growth, multiplying his support by 3.7 times since the second primaries. His evolution from 62,389 votes to 231,095 votes represents a 270.4% increase.
👑 Manfred Reyes Villa: Consistent Leader
Manfred Reyes Villa maintained leadership positions in two of the three rounds, demonstrating a solid electoral base and particular strength in Cochabamba.
🗺️ Regional Analysis
Regional Performance: Manfred Reyes Villa
Regional Performance: Manfred Reyes Villa
Regional Comparison: Top 2 Candidates
Regional Comparison: Top 2 Candidates
🏆 Santa Cruz
Department with the largest electorate, where Tuto Quiroga maintains consistent leadership.
💪 Cochabamba
Traditional stronghold of Manfred Reyes Villa, where he dominates in all three rounds.
📊 Position Evolution
Position Changes by Candidate
Position Changes by Candidate
💡 Key Observations
- Increased Competitiveness: Differences between candidates decreased significantly in the fourth primaries.
- Higher Participation: 34.9% increase in total participation since the second primaries.
- Samuel Doria Medina's Recovery: Managed to regain ground after a decline in the third primaries.
🎯 Conclusions and Strategic Implications
Manfred Reyes Villa
Must maintain his strength in Cochabamba while expanding his base in other departments.
Tuto Quiroga
Needs to consolidate his leadership in Santa Cruz and recover lost ground in the fourth primaries.
Jaime Dunn
His momentum must be capitalized to position himself as a viable alternative.
Samuel Doria Medina
Requires specific strategies to improve his positioning in key departments.
Analysis generated with El Bunker's official data from second, third and forth primaries
